Monday, February 12, 2007

A Year In Useless Stats, Part III - Best / Worst Days and Weeks

Now, as promised, the best/worst days and weeks along with a couple other random stats that don't lend themselves well to fit any other place.

It is very easy to focus on the $6K+ that I earned this year but for the purposes of the below statistics the numbers to keep in mind are my earns from actual play, rather than any of the bonuses and freerolls. To be specific, that means $686 made through actual poker play (a number that would have been $1002 if I had never played a single hand of $2/$4, but that's another story). Also of note was that in terms of BB, my yearly earn was just under 700 BB.

The first set of statistics will be measured in BB:

Most BB won, day:
4/8/2006: 70.6 BB
6/17/2006: 63.8 BB
5/5/2006: 53.1 BB

I have had 5 other days in excess of +40 BB, but I have had NONE of them since July 2006! For whatever reason, I simply don't seem to get on big daily rushes anymore. I don't know whether that is because I don't play enough hands in a typical day or some other reason. Kinda frustrating, though.

Most BB lost, day:
7/21/2006: -53.8 BB
10/31/2006: -47.7 BB (Halloween Curse)
6/21/2006: -47.4 BB

I have had only 2 other days in excess of -40 BB, so it is at least nice to know that not only don't I have big positive rushes, I don't go on very large negative plunges either.

Most BB won, week:
5/1/2006 - 5/7/2006: 94.7 BB
9/4/2006 - 9/10/2006: 78.4 BB
12/18/2006 - 12/24/2006: 78.0 BB

I have had 8 other weeks in excess of +40 BB as well.

Most BB lost, week:
3/27/2006 - 4/2/2006: -84.0 BB
5/15/2006 - 5/21/2006: -55.8 BB
1/22/2007 - 1/28/2007: -38.9 BB

I have had no other week worse than -35 BB, which tells a very nice story when combined with the previous statistic: 11 weeks of +40 BB or more, and only 3 weeks of -35 BB or worse. Gotta love that - a week is a pretty short amount of time to have expected my play to have "evened out" to this level.

Next, all the same statistics but measured in dollars. This will (obviously) show a great bias towards my end-of-year play where I am playing for stakes more than 10 times (!!!) the level that I started.

Most $$ won, day:
2/3/2007: $92.00
6/17/2006: $81.00
7/22/2006: $74.25

I have had 11 other days in excess of $50. I am amazed that I haven't had bigger days than the June and July days, as I am playing a level or two higher than I was then. This is a reflection of the "I don't seem to go on rushes since last July" statistic from above. I would certainly expect that if I continue to play $2/$4 for any appreciable amount of time these records will topple, as even a "mere" 25 BB day will exceed than any of the days listed above.

Most $$ lost, day:
10/31/2006: -$107.35 (Halloween Curse)
12/15/2006: -$103.25
1/24/2007: -$85.00

I have also had 11 other days in excess of -$50. Somewhat concerning / interesting that I've had a -$100 day (twice, even!) but never a +$100 day. Hmmmmmm.

Most $$ won, week:
1/29/2007 - 2/4/2007: $177.00
12/18/2006 - 12/24/2006: $146.75 (Merry Christmas!)
10/23/2006 - 10/29/2006: $98.85

I have had 10 other weeks in excess of $50. Interstingly enough, if you take my $6K earn for the year (including all sources) it works out to about $115/week. So if I want to match my $6K for next year, I will need to have some of these "best weeks" almost every week, since many of these sources for the $6K have dried up in the interim.

Most $$ lost, week:
1/22/2007 - 1/28/2007: -$166.75
12/11/2006 - 12/17/2006: -$157.25
3/27/2006 - 4/2/2006: -$85.87

I have had 2 other weeks in excess of -$50, so again I see a nice story of my game when grouped into week long spans: 13 weeks of +$50 or more, but only 5 weeks corresponding to the same number but in the negative column. Interestingly enough, the top two worst weeks above were immediately followed by the two best weeks above. Maybe going on a downswing motivates me to play better to get out of that hole. Or maybe the doomswitch just gets turned off at that point....

The magnitude of these dollar numbers are sobering when compared to my yearly earn - my best/worst days are in excess of 15% of my yearly earn and my best/worst weeks are up to 25% of that amount. An amazing amount of variance to be sure. Having the cushion of the bankroll allows me to push my (apparent) edge without the variance threatening to make me go busto.

Now, for the stat that doesn't seem to fit any other place - most hands played. For reference, I played just short of 51,000 hands for the year - so about 1,000 hands per week on average.

Most hands played, day:
12/1/2006: 1079
2/19/2006: 883
9/10/2006: 737

Most hands played, week:
2/13/2006 - 2/19/2006: 2158
12/18/2006 - 12/24/2006: 1808
5/15/2006 - 5/21/2006: 1745

I am actually surprised I don't have any weeks where I have 3-4 times the average number of hands. Having my "peak" day be only double the average implies a very flat distribution:


Other than playing a bit more at the start and not playing that much in the summer months, this is (reasonably) constant.

The last post "yearly" post I have actual plans for is a "value of each hand" post, both for full ring and 6-max. After that, I'd better get back to playing instead of writing about playing......

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